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ESTIMATING STANDARDS

The Design and Construction Management department employs the Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering (AACE) estimating standards. This reference describes five (5) levels of estimating accuracies, each level contains a different level of project detail and corresponding level of contingency. The levels range from “Order of Magnitude,” where little is known about the project, to an “Engineer Estimate” that is based upon an actual design for the project.  Following the Engineers Estimate, the highest level (i.e., most detailed) of estimate (with the lowest contingency) is reached when the project bids out and a fixed fee contract is in hand.  Depending upon the stage of the project, the contingency can range from +50% to as little       as +10% and establishes the reasonable risk on the project.

AACE Classification of Cost Estimate Types


Characteristics

Class 5

Class 4

Class 3

Class 2

Class 1

Order of Magnitude

Study

Preliminary

Definitive

Detailed


Increasing Level of Definition ------------------------------------------->

1) Primary Characteristics





Project Definition as

% of Full

0% to 2%

1% to 15%

10% to 40%

30% to 70%

50% to 100%

Project Definition

Little More Than Idea

Sufficiently Detailed

Further Defined

Further Defined

Highly or Fully Defined

Synonyms

Ballpark, Seat-of- pants, Guesstimate, Ratio, Prospect Estimate, Rule-of- Thumb, Idea Study

Top-down, Screening, Pre- design, Prestudy, Factored, Feasibility, Authorization

Target Estimate, Budget, Scope, Sanction, Concept Study, Basic Engineering Phase

Engineering Estimate, Master Control, Bid, Tender, Forced Detail, Change Order

Bottoms-up, firm Price, Fair Price, Definitive, Full Detail, Tender, Bid, Change Order

Notes

“The Level of Project Definition Determines the Estimate Class.”


“Scope Definition Roughly Corresponds to the Percentage of Complete Engineering.”

2) Secondary Characteristics





Purpose or End

First Cut Screening of

Feasibility

Decision to

Decision to

Basis for Detailed

Usage

“Ideas”

Evaluation &

Proceed, Obtain

Proceed, Obtain

Cost Control,

Anticipated

Significant funding,

“Full” Funding, &

Procurement, or

Funding

& Preliminary Cost

Basis for Cost

Firm Price Bidding

Control

Control

Estimating Methodology

Conjecture, Judgment, Analogy, Factored Models

Conjecture, Judgment, Analogy, Factored Models

Semi-Detailed Unit Cost w/Assembly Level Line Items

Detailed Unit Cost w/Detailed Take-off

Detailed Unit Cost w/Detailed Take- off

Range of Accuracy, Typically

-30% to +50%

-15% to

+30%

-15% to +30%

-5% to +15%

-5% to +15%

-Low Range

-20% to-50%

-15% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -15%

-3% to -10%

-High Range

+30% to +100%

+20% to +50%

+10% to +30%

+5% to +20%

+3% to +15%



BURDENS

Under LBNL/DOE guidelines the type of funding determines the burdens that will be applied to the project budget, which will affect its overall cost. If funding is unknown at the time of the estimate, then a clear, written statement must be included in the estimate stating assumptions made, burdens applied, and that changes in funding sources may change the estimated cost. If there are multiple funding options for the project the estimate should, when not cost prohibitive, reflect the differences in project costs under the different burdens. If multiple funding sources are required (capital improvements, furniture and moves, IT/telecom, and programmatic costs), these must be clarified and reflected in the estimate.

COMPLETED ESTIMATES

Cost estimates are provided to the client in writing and signed by the Facilities Design and Construction Management Project Manager. Cost estimates will clearly indicate the degree of uncertainty in the estimate (e.g., Class 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5) and list the important assumptions and/or exclusions. In cases where the project client is unable to provide a well-defined project scope, it may be appropriate to provide the client with cost and schedule duration ranges.

REFINING ESTIMATES

If a client requests a higher level of certainty cost estimate than what was originally approved in the original scoping and estimating Work Order, the client may be asked to: Furnish more details in the description of the project; Provide additional funding to support estimating and study work; and/or Agree to a reasonable due date for completing the estimate. 

REVIEW ESTIMATE AT 50% AND 100% DESIGN

The Project Manager may arrange for a third-party cost estimate for larger, more complex projects at 50% and 100% design. The Project Manager or an alternative estimating resource, in-house or external to the Lab, may perform this function.


ESTIMATE PREPARATION INSTRUCTIONS

 



COST WORKS ESTIMATE - Example

 

 

Line Number

 

Description

 

Quantity

 

Unit

Ext. Labor Incl O&P

Ext.

Equipment Incl O&P

Ext. Material Incl O&P

Ext. Total Incl O&P

Construction Projects Department







Lawrence Berkeley National Lab







Example Project







 

Line Number

 

Description

 

Quantity

 

Unit

Ext. Labor Incl O&P

Ext.

Equipment Incl O&P

Ext. Material Incl O&P

Ext. Total Incl O&P

Division 1 General Requirements







019306200020

Carpet cleaning, self-contained automatic extractor

20.00

M.S.F.

$278.85


$238.70

$517.55

019306400380

General cleaning, desk tops

8.00

Ea.

$13.86


$0.53

$14.39

019306400760

Vacuuming, overhead air vents

12.00

Ea.

$9.70



$9.70

019309501700

Moving Equipment, remove and reset, 100' distance, no obstructions, assembly or leveling unless noted, desk w ith chair

8.00

Ea.

$332.00



$332.00

019309502600

Moving Equipment, remove and reset, 100' distance, no obstructions, assembly or leveling unless noted, f ile cabinet

8.00

Ea.

$332.00



$332.00

Totals for Division 1 General Requirements



$966


$239

$1,206

Division 9 Finishes







099123740800

Paints & Coatings, w alls & ceilings, interior, concrete, dryw all or plaster, zero voc latex, 2 coats, smooth f inish, brushw ork

3,016.00

S.F.

$3,403.09


$464.46

$3,867.55

099123741800

Paints & coatings, w alls & ceilings, interior, zero voc latex, for ceiling installations, add

3,016.00

S.F.





099123748200

Paints & coatings, w alls & ceilings, interior, zero voc latex, for w ork 8'-15' high, add

3,016.00

S.F.





Totals for Division 9 Finishes



$3,403


$464

$3,868

Division 10 Specialties







101113135450

Chalkboards, liquid chalk, w hite  porcelain enamel, w all hung, deluxe units, aluminum trim & chalktrough, 4' x 4'

4.00

Ea.

$349.65


$950.40

$1,300.05

Totals for Division 10 Specialties



$350


$950

$1,300

Division 12 Furnishings







122113130020

Blinds, interior, horizontal, solid color, stock, 1" aluminum slats

72.00

S.F.

$84.60


$376.20

$460.80

Totals for Division 12 Furnishings



$85


$376

$461

Estimate Subtotal



$4,804


$2,030

$6,834

SubContractor OH & Prof it



$4,804


$2,030

$6,834

Estimate Subtotal



$4,804


$2,030

$6,834

Berkeley City Cost Index



$4,804


$2,030

$6,834

Estimate Subtotal



$4,804


$2,030

$6,834

Total Estimate



$4,804


$2,030

$6,834


IN-HOUSE DETAILS – Example

 



ESTIMATE SUMMARY WORKSHEET – Example

 

 

BURDEN CALCULATION WORKSHEET – Example

 

PROJECT BUDGET ESTIMATE COVER SHEET